Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 1.692345e-03 0.001878 0.002065 0.002267 0.002478 0.002693 0.002926
2024-12-22 1.384969e-03 0.001650 0.001926 0.002233 0.002564 0.002906 0.003287
2024-12-29 1.181722e-03 0.001508 0.001859 0.002260 0.002700 0.003166 0.003691
2025-01-05 1.020616e-03 0.001396 0.001812 0.002297 0.002842 0.003426 0.004096
2025-01-12 8.955018e-04 0.001312 0.001786 0.002352 0.002997 0.003699 0.004513
2025-01-19 7.281096e-04 0.001161 0.001672 0.002298 0.003024 0.003825 0.004764
2025-01-26 6.086218e-04 0.001057 0.001604 0.002288 0.003095 0.003997 0.005064
2025-02-02 5.053750e-04 0.000962 0.001538 0.002275 0.003159 0.004157 0.005348
2025-02-09 4.639401e-04 0.000944 0.001566 0.002372 0.003349 0.004460 0.005793
2025-02-16 3.917642e-04 0.000876 0.001523 0.002380 0.003430 0.004636 0.006092
2025-02-23 2.987887e-04 0.000765 0.001418 0.002303 0.003406 0.004686 0.006243
2025-03-02 2.255795e-04 0.000673 0.001329 0.002242 0.003396 0.004749 0.006407
2025-03-09 1.678062e-04 0.000608 0.001292 0.002268 0.003522 0.005008 0.006842
2025-03-16 1.083593e-04 0.000524 0.001220 0.002248 0.003593 0.005204 0.007210
2025-03-23 7.196267e-05 0.000472 0.001192 0.002283 0.003734 0.005488 0.007684
2025-03-30 4.494802e-05 0.000428 0.001171 0.002327 0.003885 0.005785 0.008177
2025-04-06 2.650921e-05 0.000393 0.001162 0.002386 0.004056 0.006107 0.008700
2025-04-13 6.641416e-06 0.000321 0.001078 0.002335 0.004080 0.006246 0.009006
2025-04-20 2.919889e-07 0.000272 0.001028 0.002327 0.004158 0.006451 0.009389
2025-04-27 NaN 0.000228 0.000979 0.002316 0.004230 0.006647 0.009761
2025-05-04 NaN 0.000220 0.001002 0.002414 0.004450 0.007028 0.010357
2025-05-11 NaN 0.000188 0.000969 0.002423 0.004545 0.007252 0.010761
2025-05-18 NaN 0.000138 0.000884 0.002345 0.004520 0.007321 0.010975